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Abstract INTRODUCTIONIdentification of individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) who are at risk of developing Alzheimer's disease (AD) is crucial for early intervention and selection of clinical trials. METHODSWe applied natural language processing techniques along with machine learning methods to develop a method for automated prediction of progression to AD within 6 years using speech. The study design was evaluated on the neuropsychological test interviews ofn = 166 participants from the Framingham Heart Study, comprising 90 progressive MCI and 76 stable MCI cases. RESULTSOur best models, which used features generated from speech data, as well as age, sex, and education level, achieved an accuracy of 78.5% and a sensitivity of 81.1% to predict MCI‐to‐AD progression within 6 years. DISCUSSIONThe proposed method offers a fully automated procedure, providing an opportunity to develop an inexpensive, broadly accessible, and easy‐to‐administer screening tool for MCI‐to‐AD progression prediction, facilitating development of remote assessment. HighlightsVoice recordings from neuropsychological exams coupled with basic demographics can lead to strong predictive models of progression to dementia from mild cognitive impairment.The study leveraged AI methods for speech recognition and processed the resulting text using language models.The developed AI‐powered pipeline can lead to fully automated assessment that could enable remote and cost‐effective screening and prognosis for Alzehimer's disease. 

Abstract IntroductionAutomated computational assessment of neuropsychological tests would enable widespread, cost‐effective screening for dementia. MethodsA novel natural language processing approach is developed and validated to identify different stages of dementia based on automated transcription of digital voice recordings of subjects’ neuropsychological tests conducted by the Framingham Heart Study (n= 1084). Transcribed sentences from the test were encoded into quantitative data and several models were trained and tested using these data and the participants’ demographic characteristics. ResultsAverage area under the curve (AUC) on the held‐out test data reached 92.6%, 88.0%, and 74.4% for differentiating Normal cognition from Dementia, Normal or Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) from Dementia, and Normal from MCI, respectively. DiscussionThe proposed approach offers a fully automated identification of MCI and dementia based on a recorded neuropsychological test, providing an opportunity to develop a remote screening tool that could be adapted easily to any language.